Enable economic students to perform an empirical analysis of time series using the correct tools. Introduction to quantitative methods and econometrics.

The objective of this course is to give students in the Bachelors program of Economics an introduction to modelling univariate and multivariate time series in economics. The topics covered will include modelling non-stationary time series, Granger causality, co-integration, ARIMA, seasonality, ARCH, Unit roots.

Diebold, F. (2017), Econometrics (available online).
Diebold, F. (2017), Forecasting (available online).

• The Quantitative Methods 3 course for EC, or one of the courses Empirical Econometrics for Business, Empirical Econometrics or Forecasting for international business. Assuming a basic understanding of multiple regression analysis (such as with an introductory course on econometric/quantitative methods), this accessible introduction to time series analysis shows how to develop models capable of forecasting, interpreting and testing hypothesis concerning economic data using well established as well as modern techniques. Based on real-world data and with the help of interactive software such as Eviews we will study and apply key concepts such as ARIMA, unit roots, causality, cointegration, deterministic and stochastic, trends, volatility, outliers, structural breaks, seasonality, vector autoregressive models.
• An advanced level of English.