Courses Exchange Display 2020-2021

Course Description To PDF
Course title Forecasting for Economics and Business
Course code EBC2089
ECTS credits 6,5
Assessment Whole/Half Grades
Period
Period Start End Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
4 1-2-2021 26-3-2021 X X
Level Advanced
Coordinator Alain Hecq
For more information: a.hecq@maastrichtuniversity.nl
Language of instruction English
Goals
Understand the importance of knowing the mechanisms that generate univariate time-series data.
Learn the basic tools for making forecasts including software (E-Views).
Learn and understand methods to investigate dynamic characteristics of time-series data.
Gain practical experience in analysing, modelling and forecasting a time series and reporting the results in course paper.
Description
PLEASE NOTE THAT THE INFORMATION ABOUT THE TEACHING AND ASSESSMENT METHOD(S) USED IN THIS COURSE IS WITH RESERVATION. THE INFORMATION PROVIDED HERE IS BASED ON THE COURSE SETUP PRIOR TO THE CORONAVIRUS CRISIS. AS A CONSEQUENCE OF THE CRISIS, COURSE COORDINATORS MAY BE FORCED TO CHANGE THE TEACHING AND ASSESSMENT METHODS USED. THE MOST UP-TO-DATE INFORMATION ABOUT THE TEACHING/ASSESSMENT METHOD(S) WILL BE AVAILABLE IN THE COURSE SYLLABUS. This course will cover static and dynamic forecasting models, models with trends and seasonals, and cover the Box-Jenkins methodology for modeling cycles in stationary data. The course will provide students with a thorough understanding of time-series and with the empirical skills to estimate, test, and forecast the most appropriate dynamic models.
Literature
The book by Diebold (2014), 'Forecasting' (available online).
Prerequisites
This course can be chosen as an elective by students in the Bachelor program of IBE and IES. Students must have a good and solid foundation in empirical econometrics and applied statistics, in particular statistics including knowledge about the multiple linear regression model.

James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson : Introduction to Econometrics provides a good level indication of the prerequisites knowledge students must have to be able to follow this course successfully.

An advanced level of English.
Teaching methods (indicative; course manual is definitive) PBL / Presentation / Lecture / Assignment
Assessment methods (indicative; course manual is definitive) Final Paper / Participation / Written Exam
Evaluation in previous academic year For the complete evaluation of this course please click "here"
This course belongs to the following programmes / specialisations
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - Economics Year 3 Quantitative Economics Elective(s)
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - Emerging Markets Year 3 Elective Course(s)
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - Economics and Management of Information Year 2+3 Quantitative Economics Elective(s)
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Accounting
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Finance
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Inf Mgmt
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Marketing
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Org
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj SCM
Bachelor Economics and Business Economics - International Business Economics Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Strategy
Bachelor Fiscal Economics Year 3 Elective Course(s)
Bachelor International Business - Emerging Markets Year 3 Elective Course(s)
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Accounting
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Finance
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Inf Mgmt
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Marketing
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Org
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj SCM
Bachelor International Business Year 3 QE Elec(s) - Maj Strategy
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